Chapter 24
(This chapter is still recommended to be read repeatedly.)
"Daily Prophet" December 27, 1989:
"November 9, 1989 Days later, in response to the financial deficit caused by the collapse of the Berlin Wall, Germany began to issue its own currency on a large scale. This action directly aggravated the domestic inflation in Germany. The huge inflationary pressure forced the Bundesbank to raise its own interest rates. Covering the seemingly ordinary epidermis, we still have reason to suspect that the dark wizards of the German magic circle still have the idea to rescue their former leader Gellert •Grindelwald from Nurmengard."
Jon closed With this newspaper in his hand, he tapped his fingers on the table twice, which attracted a blank eye from the librarian Madam Pince.
Lightly said sorry, Jon rolled up the newspaper in his hand and put it on his arm, turned and walked out of the library.
It has been a week since he came to Hogwarts. This week, Helga will only meet him every two or three days. The two have a tacit understanding and the time for each class is very accurate. , Won't let Jon second day be too spiritless.
As for Hogwarts’ after-school homework, it’s not difficult for Jon. It only takes a little time to get a fairly good score, and Jon did not exceed Broom Flight Class. Ordinary innate talent, so Quiddich's sport has nothing to do with him as long as he doesn't take the initiative to join in.
The homework Helga left him is very extensive. For example, the Daily Prophet he just saw was the homework Helga left him after he talked to Helga on Wednesday night.
Today is Saturday, and he will continue to enter Helga's portrait space in the evening. Before that, he will sort out these contents and tell Helga when the time comes.
Then Helga will make some inferences, including various probability inferences, and Jon is responsible for finding the most likely one.
Of course, this is not homework, it is part of Jon's learning.
As Helga said, an excellent wizard must have keen judgment so as to avoid danger as much as possible.
Jon recently found a small corner on the eighth floor of the castle. The window of that place is in the corner of the castle, and you can see the entire Hogwarts scenery. And because the place is on the eighth floor, although students are not forbidden to go up, But few people will go to that place.
Jon comes here often, most of the time in meditation, the magic environment of Hogwarts is quite good, and the meditation here is gratifying.
The rest of the time Jon is usually used in a daze, and his state and meditation are similar.
But when Jon was in a daze, he thought more than usual.
It's like the article he just read. In fact, let him know that magic circle is not all fools, and there are people who can see emergencies.
However, if I chose to post this inference on Daily Prophet, the mistakes made were too great. The people of Daily Prophet have already lost their credibility over the years.
This newspaper is the mainstream media in Britain Wizarding World, but it has reached the point where no one believes these inferences except for some factual news.
No one believes that it’s not a big problem. At least Jon has a memory of this incident in his mind, and he didn’t react immediately. Who would have thought that the dark wizard advocating violence has also started to use his mind and try to use it. Has the economic war of muggle world concealed its true purpose?
In Wizarding World, one of the biggest problems is that the wizards stand on their feet. On the one hand, the pure-blooded wizards are hostile and contemptuous of muggle, and on the other hand, they look too high on themselves, but they didn’t expect that the current Britain It’s not the powerful sun setting empire that year, and the situation in the wizard world is not much better than in the muggle world. The cutting-edge wizards of various countries have sprung up like bamboo shoots after a rain. Even though Dumbledore is still one of the most powerful wizards in the world. One, but after all, it’s hard to support it alone. It is already very difficult to maintain the right to speak of Britain Wizarding World in the entire magic world.
Especially after World War II, the country above North America has already taken the greatest right to speak from the hands of the sun never Yes, the wizards of this country have also as the tide rises, the boat floats, and have more say in the international magic conference.
It is precisely because of this that the British muggle government decided in 1990 to join a new currency system created by Western European countries in order to get rid of the restrictions of the United States. This currency system, the European exchange rate system, actually uses a The treaty locks the currency mechanisms of various countries together. To put it bluntly, each currency can only float within a certain range of exchange rates. Once this range is exceeded, the central banks of each member country need to intervene in the market. It is the currency exchange rate that stabilizes.
And these are all based on the German currency "Mark" at that time as the core operation.
This system quickly became a tool. The muggle representative of Dark Wizard, a businessman named George, took advantage of the weaknesses of this system and launched a currency "hunting" against Britain muggle society.
In Jon's memory, Britain in his previous life was basically beaten by this George helplessly, and was beaten to an economic collapse in 1992. At this point in time, Britain’s muggle society is facing a rapid economic recession and deflation.
Just when the German muggle society was facing inflation and had to raise interest rates, Britain’s muggle society needed to increase inflation due to economic decline, so it was an urgent need to lower interest rates to stimulate its own society. Economic recovery.
The conflict has arisen at this time. In order to maintain this "European exchange rate system", Britain must maintain an extremely high exchange rate and interest rate like Germany, which makes Britain face a dilemma.
According to Mundell’s ternary paradox, (that is, under the conditions of an open economy, the independence of the country’s monetary policy, exchange rate policy, and the free circulation of capital cannot be realized at the same time. Goal, it is necessary to abandon another goal to achieve the purpose of regulation). Under the premise that exchange rate stability and free capital flow have been maintained, Britain also wants to maintain high interest rates, which in itself is an impossible thing to do.
And Jon knows that this representative of the dark wizard in Germany, George, is betting that Britain’s muggle government cannot maintain these three at the same time, and must abandon exchange rate stability and withdraw from the European exchange rate mechanism, when the time comes Britain The British pound will collapse.
Jon doesn't know much about Economics, but one thing is obvious.
If the economy collapses, it will inevitably cause social panic. At that time, the Britain Wizarding World based on muggle society will become a large sieve, which will be infiltrated and disintegrated by those dark wizards. .
"That is the real disaster!"
Jon murmured, sitting by the window.