Chapter 266 Obtaining [Undead]

Chapter 266 Obtaining [Undead]

Chapter 266 Obtaining [Undead]

Liu Mao continued to press the button to get prompts.

"To obtain the hint for the second time, you need to invest two [Memory] cards."

A pleasant female voice sounded.

Just like what Ke Lan said, each time you get a hint, the cost will double that of the previous time.

According to this ratio, no matter how much [Memory] you have, it will not be enough to build it.

After investing two [Memories], Liu Mao got the second hint.

"There is at least one 'trap box' in the first row of boxes."

Liu Mao took note of this tip.

"There are four boxes in the first row, and the hint says that there is at least one 'trap box' among the four boxes. There is at least one. It could also be two, three, or even four. This hint is too general."

Liu Mao felt helpless.

He felt that if he was allowed to guess randomly, he could guess that there might be a 'trap box' in the first row.

So he immediately chose to press the button to get the prompt again.

This time, four [Memories] need to be complained about.

Including the previous investment, six [Memories] have been invested before finding out which one is the 'jackpot box'.

This game is obviously very well designed.

It reminded Liu Mao of something.

lottery.

He remembered that there was a time in the past when he really liked buying lottery tickets.

I was so obsessed with it at one point that I had to buy every issue. If I missed one issue, I felt like I would miss out on a grand prize of millions or tens of millions.

We also need to study probability. As long as we continue to invest, we can increase the possibility of winning to a certain extent.

However, Liu Mao carefully compared them and found that both of them have their own advantages and disadvantages. One wants money but not life; the other wants both money and life.
The box guessing game is very similar to the lottery. You can play with a low investment and try your luck with just one card, or you can invest a lot. However, if you think about it, you will know that investing a lot is almost like a bottomless pit, because the fourth time you get a hint, you will consume eight [memories], the fifth time is sixteen, the sixth is thirty-two, and the seventh time is sixty-four.
No matter how many [memories] you have, you can use them all in this game.

In addition, it is certain that the 'hint' cannot tell you the location of the 'big prize'. Even if you get a relatively accurate location, you will probably get about the eighth hint. Accumulating hundreds of [memories] just to complete a game?
Even the dumbest fool wouldn't play like this.

Liu Mao thought about this problem in his mind, so he thought that three times of 'getting hints' were acceptable, but the fourth time would be a bit uneconomical.

The third hint is: There is at least one 'empty box' in the second row of boxes.

"I finally understand. All the hints are just a trick. It's impossible to tell me the location of the grand prize box. But this is normal. I can't continue to invest. If nothing unexpected happens, even the fourth hint won't give any important hints. It will consume too much [memory]."

Liu Mao thought about it carefully and found that the first three tips were actually helpful if analyzed together.

"If the grand prize is not in the last row, then it can only be in the first two rows. There are 4 boxes in the first row and 3 boxes in the second row. There is at least one 'trap box' in the first row and at least one 'empty box' in the second row. So if I want to try, I should start from the second row. There are only 3 boxes in the second row, and it is certain that there is at least one 'empty box'. So according to the worst case scenario, the grand prize is not in the second row, and the other two boxes are 'trap boxes', then my probability of drawing an 'empty box' is also one-third. Conversely, as long as it is not the worst case, even if the grand prize box is in the second row, then my probability of drawing a safe box is two-thirds."

Liu Mao took a deep breath.

He decided to try his luck.

He reached out to take the box, but after thinking it over, he pulled his hand back.

"Wait a minute, I have to think about what will happen if I take a box from the second row? Either I get the grand prize, or I get a trap box. Let's see what kind of bad luck it is. Or I get an empty box. Actually, except for the trap box, the remaining two possibilities are very good. I can pass the level without having to worry about the grand prize. If it is an empty box, I can use the 'Exclude Empty Boxes' button. Then the excluded empty boxes may appear in any of the three rows. The third row is my bad luck. The second and first rows are both valuable to me."

Liu Mao wiped the sweat from his forehead.

He felt that this game was more torturous than directly fighting with others. He preferred simpler games, for example, instead of guessing the boxes, he could play the game of moving boxes. Moving hundreds of boxes was less stressful than this.

At least, my heart is not tired.

Liu Mao didn't have the energy to think about anything more.

"Let's follow this idea first." Liu Mao took a deep breath, looked at the three boxes in the middle, and picked up the middle box completely based on his feeling.

The next moment, the box broke, revealing its contents.

It's a note.

It said 'Empty Box'.

"Huh~" Liu Mao let out a long breath, but there was more sweat on his forehead.

Then he pressed the 'Exclude Empty Boxes' button. Of course, to trigger this button, he also had to pay a [Memory].

The next moment, the box on the left side of the third row was broken, and the note inside said "empty box". Seeing this, Liu Mao couldn't help but curse.

He seldom swears, but this time he couldn't help it.

"It's all in vain!" Not only was sweat on his forehead, but his heartbeat also started to accelerate and his palms were sweaty.

To be honest, this thing feels more exciting than fighting with evil spirits.

Liu Mao reached out and wiped his hands on his body, wiping the sweat from his palms, then wiped his forehead with his sleeves, and finally rubbed his face again.

"Let me think about it again. I have used a lot of [memory]. In addition to confirming that the 'big prize box' is not in the third row, I have also confirmed two other things. There is at least one 'trap box' in the four boxes in the first row. I touched an 'empty box' in the second row, and I also ruled out an 'empty box' in the third row. This is equivalent to ruling out at least three boxes. Now the probability of touching the big prize is one in six. No, no, I should change my thinking. If it were Luo Xi, he would definitely change his thinking. He would definitely analyze the second and third rows separately, that is, make assumptions. Luo Xi likes to make assumptions the most."

Liu Mao looked at the remaining two boxes in the second row and the four boxes in the first row.

"I also assume that the grand prize is in the second row. If I continue to touch the second row, the probability of getting the grand prize is one-half. Conversely, the probability of getting the grand prize in the first row is one-quarter. It is known that there is at least one trap box in the first row, and among the existing trap boxes, there must be a 'death box'. Hey, wait a minute."

Liu Mao suddenly realized something.

"There is only one death box. In other words, the probability of getting the grand prize and getting death is the same. So my idea should be to not focus on the grand prize, but to figure out the location of the death box, and then choose the one with the lowest probability of the death box and the highest probability of the grand prize box."

Liu Mao didn't know whether this idea was correct or not, but he had no better solution.

"The possible locations of the Death Box now are in the third row of 2-choose-one, the second row of 2-choose-one, and the first row of 4-choose-one. The Grand Prize is in the second row of 2-choose-one, and the first row of 4-choose-one. This means that the probability of me drawing the Grand Prize and drawing the Death Box in the second row is the same. In addition, I only used it once to eliminate the empty box. The second time, I only need two [Memory] cards."

Thinking of this, Liu Mao did not hesitate. He stared at the four boxes in the first row, then reached out decisively and picked up the first box in the first row.

I saw a note inside that said "broken finger".

It's a trap box.

But when he saw the note, Liu Mao smiled. Even when one of his hands was pinched by the machine and then his little finger was cut off by a sharp electric saw, he just gritted his teeth and didn't make any sound.

"Luckily, he didn't die." Liu Mao quickly wrapped the wound with the hemostatic cotton and bandage placed next to him.

It's just a broken finger, he doesn't care.

"In this way, the probability of selecting the jackpot box in the first row has increased again, so I choose to 'eliminate the empty boxes' again." Liu Mao knew that these two [Memories] were the last cards he would pay in this round.

He no longer uses the 'Get Hint' or 'Exclude Empty Chests' buttons.

slap~
The third box in the first row is broken, it is an empty box.

This result was not what Liu Mao wanted to see, but there was nothing he could do. This was the situation and he had to accept it whether it was good or bad.

And he suspected that there were no empty boxes left.

Among the remaining four boxes, there is a big prize box, and the remaining three boxes are trap boxes. There is a death in the trap box, and the big prize is either in the second row or in the first row, and the same goes for the death.

The probability is one in two.

"No, in this case, the probability of touching the big prize box is still one in four. I still need one more hint to exclude the second row or the first row." Liu Mao reviewed the situation carefully at this time and discovered a realistic situation.

That's where he got it wrong.

His thinking was wrong and he made wrong choices in many places throughout the process.

Because of the final result, he did not really increase the probability of winning the jackpot, and at the same time, the price he paid was very high.

The more I thought about it, the more anxious and irritated I became, and I was filled with anger towards myself.

Liu Mao, who was originally planning to make another purchase suggestion, simply smiled.

He didn't think or analyze any more because he realized that he was not born to do this.

"There are four boxes. I'll pick one at random." Liu Mao didn't hesitate any longer and gave up thinking. He looked at the box on the left side of the second row and reached out to grab it.

The box broke open.

The note inside was revealed.

It says 'jackpot' on it.

"???" Liu Mao was stunned at first, then he smiled helplessly: "If I had known earlier, I would have chosen randomly, what a waste."

"Congratulations on winning the grand prize box. Now you can choose a clearance reward from the five boxes. The reward cards and quantities in each box are different. Of course, you can also choose to spend 2 [Memory] cards to exclude a box with the least number of cards."

"Go to hell!" Liu Mao cursed and grabbed one at random based on his feeling.

boom!
The box broke, revealing a stack of cards. There were five cards in total. Except for two [Memory] cards, the remaining three were functional cards. The most important thing was that among these three functional cards, there was one [Undead].

(End of this chapter)